BTS Pro Series Season 8. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Esportsloss 0:2series probability
74%26%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Dream Makerwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Neon Esports
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 29 games
Nyx Assassinsignature
PlayHard · 28 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Skem · 23 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Yopaj · 21 game
Puckoften banned
Yopaj · 19 games
Tusk
Jaunuel · 19 games
Leshracsignature
Skem · 16 games
Lion
Jaunuel · 15 games
Dream Maker
Beastmasteroften banned
Nevermine · 3 games
Rubick
czy · 3 games
Sand Kingoften banned
Nevermine · 3 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Nevermine · 3 games
Vengeful Spiritoften banned
czy · 3 games
Marsoften banned
TrazaM · 2 games
Mirana
czy · 2 games
Pangolieroften banned
TrazaM · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
374 picks · 172 bans
Hoodwink
346 picks · 124 bans
Lina
266 picks · 470 bans
Nyx Assassin
259 picks · 523 bans
Luna
252 picks · 348 bans
Mars
244 picks · 417 bans
Dragon Knight
236 picks · 328 bans
Pangolier
236 picks · 299 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 30%
Hero pool strength57% Neon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total74% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:34
Neon Esports 64%Dream Maker 36%
The model gave 64% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Dream Maker in 51:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
JuggernautUnknown-
BloodseekerNevermine
PuckMikoto
AbaddonTrazaM
Clockwerkxiaoyu154
Lionczy
RubickNARMAN
PangolierJaunuel
Game 2prediction missed8:29
Neon Esports 65%Dream Maker 35%
The model gave 65% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Dream Maker in 24:06.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
SpectreUnknown-
Sand KingNevermine
LeshracMikoto
Miranaczy
Bloodseekerxiaoyu154
LionTrazaM
TinyNARMAN
PangolierJaunuel
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 74%
Series resultDream Maker 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2