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BTS Pro Series Season 9. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Neon Esportswin 2:0
series probability
66%34%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Omega Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Neon Esports

Mirana
Miranasignature
PlayHard · 25 games
68%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Tims · 23 games
65%
Lion
Lion
Jaunuel · 20 games
55%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Unknown- · 17 games
59%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Yopaj · 17 games
53%
Mars
Marssignature
xiaoyu154 · 14 games
64%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
Skem · 14 games
50%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Enryu · 13 games
77%

Omega Esports

Bristleback
Bristlebackoften banned
Mac · 6 games
50%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Tino- · 6 games
50%
Broodmother
Broodmotheroften banned
Sam_H · 5 games
60%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
Sam_H · 5 games
80%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Sam_H · 5 games
20%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mac · 5 games
40%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Sam_H · 4 games
0%
Enchantress
Enchantress
cml · 4 games
50%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
283 picks · 155 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
267 picks · 358 bans
48%
Lina
Lina
257 picks · 526 bans
55%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
247 picks · 388 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
239 picks · 338 bans
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
227 picks · 238 bans
58%
Monkey King
Monkey King
225 picks · 475 bans
62%
Tiny
Tiny
225 picks · 298 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 18%
Hero pool strength57% Neon Esports
Head-to-head4 – 0
Model total66% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 66%
Series resultNeon Esports 2:0
Series predictioncorrect