BLAST Slam VIII. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Nexuswin 1:0series probability
41%59%
probability at match start · final 1:0
EEAT.HAPPY.STRONGloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nexus
No games played over 6 months.
EAT.HAPPY.STRONG
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
487 picks · 330 bans
Bane
345 picks · 461 bans
Clockwerk
337 picks · 522 bans
Ember Spirit
322 picks · 501 bans
Shadow Fiend
313 picks · 647 bans
Tiny
287 picks · 316 bans
Windranger
273 picks · 198 bans
Rubick
261 picks · 145 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% Nexus
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total59% EAT.HAPPY.STRONG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
Nexus 41%EAT.HAPPY.STRONG 59%
The model gave 59% on EAT.HAPPY.STRONG — the game was taken by Nexus.
Model check result
Model favoriteEAT.HAPPY.STRONG · 59%
Series resultNexus 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1