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BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Night Pulseloss 0:2
series probability
45%55%
probability at match start · final 0:2
HULIGANIwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Night Pulse

Hoodwink
Hoodwinkoften banned
JANTER · 23 games
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Hduo · 21 game
48%
Ursa
Ursasignature
V-Tune · 19 games
68%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Hduo · 17 games
53%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Worick · 17 games
59%
Medusa
Medusasignature
V-Tune · 17 games
71%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
Kami · 17 games
59%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Worick · 17 games
35%

HULIGANI

Rubick
Rubick
OneJey · 21 game
38%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Bb3px · 19 games
79%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
OneJey · 19 games
32%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Hellscream · 16 games
75%
Windranger
Windrangeroften banned
re1bl · 16 games
56%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
re1bl · 14 games
43%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
re1bl · 14 games
71%
Sven
Svensignature
RAMZES666 · 14 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
349 picks · 259 bans
46%
Rubick
Rubick
341 picks · 332 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
338 picks · 387 bans
52%
Pangolier
Pangolier
331 picks · 484 bans
49%
Snapfire
Snapfire
309 picks · 267 bans
53%
Sven
Sven
290 picks · 303 bans
51%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
286 picks · 446 bans
48%
Enchantress
Enchantress
285 picks · 473 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 67%
Hero pool strength51% Night Pulse
Head-to-head2 – 6
Model total55% HULIGANI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:32
Night Pulse 48%HULIGANI 52%
The model gave 52% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 40:09.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Morphling
MorphlingV-Tune
50% · 118 games56% · 50 games
Bristlebackv1olent-
Bristleback
Beastmaster
BeastmasterKami
47% · 90 games53% · 119 games
Sand KingAlberkaaa
Sand King
Kunkka
KunkkaWorick
49% · 117 games53% · 133 games
InvokerMirage
Invoker
Rubick
RubickShishak
40% · 205 games58% · 127 games
Elder TitanPanto
Elder Titan
Tusk
TuskHduo
48% · 131 game47% · 232 games
Dark WillowOneJey
Dark Willow
Game 2prediction correct6:21
Night Pulse 45%HULIGANI 55%
The model gave 55% on HULIGANI — the game was taken by HULIGANI in 22:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Mars
MarsKami
49% · 126 games55% · 150 games
Nature's Prophetv1olent-
Nature's Prophet
Windranger
WindrangerV-Tune
44% · 154 games60% · 57 games
BristlebackAlberkaaa
Bristleback
Dragon Knight
Dragon KnightWorick
44% · 167 games52% · 257 games
PuckMirage
Puck
Enchantress
EnchantressHduo
41% · 156 games52% · 234 games
SnapfireOneJey
Snapfire
Rubick
RubickShishak
43% · 177 games62% · 82 games
OmniknightPanto
Omniknight
Model check result
Model favoriteHULIGANI · 55%
Series resultHULIGANI 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2