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LOOT.BET Pro Series Season 7. Юго-Восточная Азия · BO5
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAwin 3:2
series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 3:2
Fnaticloss 2:3
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Lion
Lionsignature
Jhocam · 18 games
61%
Puck
Pucksignature
AlaCrity · 16 games
63%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionsignature
Poloson · 12 games
67%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Meracle · 10 games
40%
Grimstroke
Grimstrokesignature
Jhocam · 10 games
60%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
Poloson · 9 games
78%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Meracle · 7 games
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 7 games
57%

Fnatic

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
Lion
432 picks · 192 bans
52%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
344 picks · 135 bans
49%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
310 picks · 628 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
299 picks · 676 bans
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
291 picks · 462 bans
54%
Mars
Mars
290 picks · 510 bans
49%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
276 picks · 354 bans
49%
Lina
Lina
260 picks · 356 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)54% vs 60%
Hero pool strength54% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total52% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed6:18
Nigma Galaxy SEA 52%Fnatic 48%
The model gave 52% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Fnatic in 27:41.
Game 2prediction missed18:33
Nigma Galaxy SEA 52%Fnatic 48%
The model gave 52% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Fnatic in 34:46.
Game 3prediction correct25:20
Nigma Galaxy SEA 52%Fnatic 48%
The model gave 52% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 33:37.
Game 4prediction correct19:18
Nigma Galaxy SEA 52%Fnatic 48%
The model gave 52% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 42:11.
Game 5prediction correct22:31
Nigma Galaxy SEA 52%Fnatic 48%
The model gave 52% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by Nigma Galaxy SEA in 46:07.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 52%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 3:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 5