Gamers Without Borders 2022. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
Nigma Galaxy SEAwin 2:0series probability
67%33%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yangon Galacticosloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Nigma Galaxy SEA
No games played over 6 months.
Yangon Galacticos
Monkey Kingsignature
Ksh · 9 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Young PH · 8 games
Kunkkasignature
Young PH · 8 games
Spectre
Ksh · 4 games
Lifestealeroften banned
Ksh · 3 games
Puckoften banned
Young PH · 3 games
Anti-Mageoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Phantom Assassinoften banned
Ksh · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
434 picks · 272 bans
Mars
426 picks · 561 bans
Tiny
382 picks · 444 bans
Death Prophet
346 picks · 721 bans
Sand King
319 picks · 436 bans
Ember Spirit
316 picks · 464 bans
Pangolier
280 picks · 420 bans
Storm Spirit
272 picks · 415 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)29% vs 29%
Hero pool strength51% Yangon Galacticos
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total67% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 67%
Series resultNigma Galaxy SEA 2:0
Series predictioncorrect