Лига Ставок Dota 2 Champions League Season 16 · BO3
result vs predictionNVNo Visionwin 2:0
series probability
38%62%
probability at match start · final 2:0
YNTloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
No Vision
Pangolieroften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 4 games
Tiny
Chira JUNIOR · 4 games
Mirana
jAMES · 3 games
Clockwerk
jAMES · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 1 game
Hoodwink
jAMES · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 1 game
Linaoften banned
Chira JUNIOR · 1 game
YNT
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Marci
394 picks · 603 bans
Tiny
357 picks · 262 bans
Undying
326 picks · 552 bans
Enigma
246 picks · 771 bans
Pangolier
234 picks · 340 bans
Death Prophet
226 picks · 342 bans
Primal Beast
225 picks · 431 bans
Batrider
205 picks · 720 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 54%
Hero pool strength52% YNT
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total62% YNT
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed29:9
No Vision 38%YNT 62%
The model gave 62% on YNT — the game was taken by No Vision in 33:01.
Game 2prediction missed39:40
No Vision 38%YNT 62%
The model gave 62% on YNT — the game was taken by No Vision in 54:28.
Model check result
Model favoriteYNT · 62%
Series resultNo Vision 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2