?
arrow_backBack to match
BetBoom Dacha Belgrade 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
NoLimitloss 1:2
series probability
30%70%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Hydrawin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

NoLimit

No games played over 6 months.

Hydra

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Dominic · 2 games
50%
Rubick
Rubick
jAMES · 2 games
50%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Ethereal · 2 games
0%
Sniper
Sniperoften banned
jAMES · 2 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
Actor · 2 games
50%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Dominic · 1 game
0%
Earthshaker
Earthshaker
Ethereal · 1 game
0%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ethereal · 1 game
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Rubick
Rubick
361 picks · 348 bans
51%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
356 picks · 403 bans
53%
Jakiro
Jakiro
341 picks · 257 bans
47%
Pangolier
Pangolier
318 picks · 512 bans
48%
Sven
Sven
295 picks · 306 bans
51%
Snapfire
Snapfire
279 picks · 253 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
273 picks · 353 bans
51%
Phoenix
Phoenix
270 picks · 474 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)60% vs 46%
Hero pool strength52% NoLimit
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total70% Hydra
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct24:33
NoLimit 30%Hydra 70%
The model gave 70% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 47:47.
Game 2prediction missed22:35
NoLimit 30%Hydra 70%
The model gave 70% on Hydra — the game was taken by NoLimit in 39:50.
Game 3prediction correct32:24
NoLimit 30%Hydra 70%
The model gave 70% on Hydra — the game was taken by Hydra in 31:29.
Model check result
Model favoriteHydra · 70%
Series resultHydra 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3