PGL Wallachia Season 7. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
NoLogoJustMMRwin 1:0series probability
52%48%
probability at match start · final 1:0
GGGas Gas Gasloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NoLogoJustMMR
Ogre Magi
Flash · 4 games
Windrangeroften banned
legacy · 4 games
Ringmaster
Jeezy · 3 games
Rubick
G.T.I · 3 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Jeezy · 3 games
Dark Willow
piro · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Nyx · 2 games
Invokeroften banned
G.T.I · 2 games
Gas Gas Gas
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
542 picks · 848 bans
Tusk
514 picks · 369 bans
Dragon Knight
474 picks · 641 bans
Centaur Warrunner
456 picks · 585 bans
Shadow Demon
393 picks · 774 bans
Gyrocopter
350 picks · 582 bans
Ember Spirit
345 picks · 550 bans
Mars
341 picks · 481 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)36% vs 40%
Hero pool strength54% Gas Gas Gas
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total52% NoLogoJustMMR
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
NoLogoJustMMR 52%Gas Gas Gas 48%
The model gave 52% on NoLogoJustMMR — the game was taken by NoLogoJustMMR.
Model check result
Model favoriteNoLogoJustMMR · 52%
Series resultNoLogoJustMMR 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1