Elite League Season 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
nounsloss 0:2series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 0:2
beastcoastwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
nouns
Tinysignature
Lelis · 28 games
Pangolieroften banned
Copy · 24 games
Crystal Maidensignature
Fly · 20 games
Terrorbladesignature
Yuma · 19 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Gunnar · 17 games
Rubick
Lelis · 17 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Gunnar · 16 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Lelis · 16 games
beastcoast
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
376 picks · 789 bans
Hoodwink
357 picks · 358 bans
Rubick
347 picks · 249 bans
Weaver
342 picks · 718 bans
Clockwerk
316 picks · 466 bans
Pangolier
309 picks · 496 bans
Gyrocopter
305 picks · 371 bans
Phoenix
295 picks · 622 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)44% vs 44%
Hero pool strength54% nouns
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% nouns
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed12:50
nouns 55%beastcoast 45%
The model gave 55% on nouns — the game was taken by beastcoast in 43:12.
Game 2prediction missed25:34
nouns 55%beastcoast 45%
The model gave 55% on nouns — the game was taken by beastcoast in 40:04.
Model check result
Model favoritenouns · 55%
Series resultbeastcoast 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2