BetBoom Dacha Dubai 2024. Закрытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
nounswin 1:0series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Bullsloss 0:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
nouns
Ancient Apparitionsignature
YamSun · 9 games
Earth Spiritoften banned
Gunnar · 9 games
Nature's Prophetoften banned
YamSun · 9 games
Phoenixsignature
Fly · 9 games
Skywrath Mage
Lelis · 9 games
Clockwerksignature
Lelis · 8 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
Lelis · 7 games
Invokersignature
Stormstormer · 7 games
Bulls
Primal Beastoften banned
Vitaly · 2 games
Grimstrokeoften banned
MoOz · 1 game
Gyrocopter
payk · 1 game
Lion
MoOz · 1 game
Morphlingoften banned
payk · 1 game
Treant Protectoroften banned
Gardick · 1 game
Tusk
Gardick · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Grimstroke
252 picks · 428 bans
Muerta
225 picks · 317 bans
Phoenix
220 picks · 351 bans
Dark Willow
206 picks · 97 bans
Centaur Warrunner
205 picks · 278 bans
Tusk
205 picks · 191 bans
Treant Protector
188 picks · 359 bans
Kunkka
179 picks · 508 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 67%
Hero pool strength51% Bulls
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total75% nouns
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:12
nouns 63%Bulls 37%
The model gave 63% on nouns — the game was taken by nouns in 40:45.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
UrsaYuma
Lunapayk
Ember SpiritStormstormer
Primal BeastVitaly
Centaur WarrunnerGunnar
Nature's ProphetMoOz
BatriderLelis
ClockwerkGardick
Crystal MaidenFly
Model check result
Model favoritenouns · 75%
Series resultnouns 1:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1