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PGL Wallachia 2024: Season 1 · BO3
result vs prediction
nounsloss 0:2
series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
G2 Invictus Gamingwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

nouns

Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
Stormstormer · 22 games
64%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Lelis · 22 games
59%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Yuma · 21 game
81%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Gunnar · 20 games
75%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maidensignature
Fly · 17 games
65%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Lelis · 16 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Fly · 16 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Gunnar · 15 games
53%

G2 Invictus Gaming

No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
487 picks · 215 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
445 picks · 624 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
415 picks · 734 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
394 picks · 158 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
393 picks · 551 bans
51%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
384 picks · 326 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
366 picks · 740 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
337 picks · 550 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 45%
Hero pool strength57% nouns
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total69% G2 Invictus Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct9:27
nouns 31%G2 Invictus Gaming 69%
The model gave 69% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 33:37.
Game 2prediction correct12:26
nouns 31%G2 Invictus Gaming 69%
The model gave 69% on G2 Invictus Gaming — the game was taken by G2 Invictus Gaming in 34:58.
Model check result
Model favoriteG2 Invictus Gaming · 69%
Series resultG2 Invictus Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2