BETBOOM Streamers Battle 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
NS Teamloss 0:2series probability
31%69%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Rostik Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
NS Team
Windranger
NS · 5 games
Largooften banned
Dread · 4 games
Baneoften banned
Fishman · 3 games
Dark Willow
Stint · 3 games
Disruptor
good_mma · 3 games
Earthshaker
NS · 3 games
Medusa
Lesn4ok · 3 games
Pudge
Otaker · 3 games
Rostik Team
Ancient Apparition
yurapivo · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
egxrdemxn · 1 game
Brewmasteroften banned
egxrdemxn · 1 game
Disruptor
Vlad · 1 game
Enigmaoften banned
egxrdemxn · 1 game
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
TA2000 · 1 game
Pangolier
rostislav_999 · 1 game
Shadow Fiendoften banned
TA2000 · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
491 picks · 295 bans
Dark Willow
374 picks · 166 bans
Mirana
364 picks · 161 bans
Ember Spirit
325 picks · 483 bans
Centaur Warrunner
306 picks · 308 bans
Winter Wyvern
296 picks · 274 bans
Earth Spirit
293 picks · 476 bans
Undying
271 picks · 369 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 44%
Hero pool strength63% Rostik Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total69% Rostik Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:33
NS Team 40%Rostik Team 60%
The model gave 60% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 42:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga SirenKudes
MagnusTA2000
PudgeDragneel_FH
Enigmaegxrdemxn
SlardarAmor
Linarostislav_999
ZeusNS
Ogre Magiyurapivo
Death ProphetFishman
HoodwinkVlad
Game 2prediction correct14:29
NS Team 38%Rostik Team 62%
The model gave 62% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 26:20.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinKudes
Centaur Warrunneregxrdemxn
WindrangerDragneel_FH
JuggernautTA2000
TidehunterAmor
Tinyrostislav_999
MiranaFishman
Winter WyvernVlad
RingmasterNS
Snapfireyurapivo
Model check result
Model favoriteRostik Team · 69%
Series resultRostik Team 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2