FISSURE PLAYGROUND 2 — Dota 2. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs predictionOMoc memoloss 0:1
series probability
24%76%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Zero Tenacitywin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
oc memo
No games played over 6 months.
Zero Tenacity
Pucksignature
Mirage · 34 games
Storm Spirit
Stojkov · 27 games
Dark Willow
yamich · 26 games
Dragon Knight
Nande · 25 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Nefrit · 24 games
Warlock
Se · 24 games
Earthshakeroften banned
Pablo · 22 games
Enchantresssignature
Se · 21 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Shadow Shaman
298 picks · 192 bans
Puck
289 picks · 668 bans
Dark Willow
260 picks · 107 bans
Tusk
256 picks · 254 bans
Dawnbreaker
253 picks · 623 bans
Nature's Prophet
250 picks · 524 bans
Marci
244 picks · 536 bans
Disruptor
241 picks · 203 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 49%
Hero pool strength52% Zero Tenacity
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total76% Zero Tenacity
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
oc memo 24%Zero Tenacity 76%
The model gave 76% on Zero Tenacity — the game was taken by Zero Tenacity.
Model check result
Model favoriteZero Tenacity · 76%
Series resultZero Tenacity 0:1
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1