DreamLeague Season 27. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
OG LATAMwin 2:0series probability
76%24%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Flameloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
OG LATAM
Tusk
Elmisho · 12 games
Shadow Shaman
MoOz · 9 games
Ringmaster
MoOz · 8 games
Terrorbladeoften banned
K1 · 8 games
Underlord
ILICH- · 8 games
Ursaoften banned
K1 · 8 games
Dark Seeroften banned
ILICH- · 7 games
Pangolieroften banned
ILICH- · 7 games
Flame
Huskaroften banned
Adrx · 2 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
S1RENM · 2 games
Bristleback
Adrx · 1 game
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Argius · 1 game
Leshrac
S1RENM · 1 game
Luna
Argius · 1 game
Lycanoften banned
Adrx · 1 game
Morphlingoften banned
Argius · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
316 picks · 784 bans
Disruptor
315 picks · 290 bans
Shadow Shaman
272 picks · 171 bans
Dawnbreaker
269 picks · 740 bans
Pugna
269 picks · 300 bans
Tusk
265 picks · 248 bans
Marci
261 picks · 762 bans
Snapfire
261 picks · 127 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)56% vs 50%
Hero pool strength61% Flame
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total76% OG LATAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
OG LATAM 76%Flame 24%
The model gave 76% on OG LATAM — the game was taken by OG LATAM.
Game 2prediction correct
OG LATAM 76%Flame 24%
The model gave 76% on OG LATAM — the game was taken by OG LATAM.
Model check result
Model favoriteOG LATAM · 76%
Series resultOG LATAM 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2