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The International 2025. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
OG LATAMwin 2:0
series probability
34%66%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Veritas Brothersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG LATAM

Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
ILICH- · 5 games
40%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
MoOz · 4 games
50%
Warlock
Warlock
MoOz · 4 games
50%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparitionoften banned
MoOz · 3 games
0%
Jakiro
Jakiro
MoOz · 3 games
0%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
Elmisho · 3 games
0%
Tusk
Tusk
Elmisho · 3 games
0%
Underlord
Underlord
ILICH- · 3 games
33%

Veritas Brothers

Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
Oscar · 1 game
100%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
Gardick · 1 game
100%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
Oscar · 1 game
100%
Lina
Linaoften banned
Costabile · 1 game
100%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Gardick · 1 game
100%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
Costabile · 1 game
100%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
482 picks · 448 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
477 picks · 560 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
447 picks · 231 bans
51%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
352 picks · 694 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
309 picks · 476 bans
53%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
308 picks · 710 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
299 picks · 250 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
291 picks · 90 bans
45%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)18% vs 70%
Hero pool strength60% Veritas Brothers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total66% Veritas Brothers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:13
OG LATAM 40%Veritas Brothers 60%
The model gave 60% on Veritas Brothers — the game was taken by OG LATAM in 35:51.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaK1
58% · 93 games51% · 172 games
Templar AssassinLumière
Templar Assassin
Pangolier
PangolierILICH-
50% · 163 games53% · 348 games
Dark SeerOscar
Dark Seer
Underlord
UnderlordTaiLung
51% · 69 games42% · 55 games
DisruptorGardick
Disruptor
Jakiro
JakiroMoOz
48% · 143 games
Tusk
TuskElmisho
49% · 107 games
Game 2prediction missed21:4
OG LATAM 42%Veritas Brothers 58%
The model gave 58% on Veritas Brothers — the game was taken by OG LATAM in 23:32.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterK1
48% · 197 games46% · 112 games
Shadow FiendLumière
Shadow Fiend
Sniper
SniperTaiLung
54% · 74 games56% · 176 games
Centaur WarrunnerOscar
Centaur Warrunner
Undying
UndyingILICH-
40% · 17 games49% · 266 games
PhoenixGardick
Phoenix
Ringmaster
RingmasterMoOz
47% · 65 games
Tusk
TuskElmisho
52% · 201 game
Model check result
Model favoriteVeritas Brothers · 66%
Series resultOG LATAM 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2