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FISSURE PLAYGROUND 2 — Dota 2. Закрытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
OG LATAMloss 1:2
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Wildcard Gamingwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG LATAM

Tusk
Tusk
Elmisho · 12 games
58%
Batrider
Batridersignature
Genek · 9 games
78%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
MoOz · 9 games
56%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
MoOz · 8 games
38%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
K1 · 8 games
38%
Underlord
Underlord
ILICH- · 8 games
25%
Ursa
Ursaoften banned
K1 · 8 games
50%
Warlock
Warlocksignature
MoOz · 8 games
63%

Wildcard Gaming

Chen
Chensignature
Speeed · 24 games
71%
Tusk
Tusk
Bignum · 24 games
54%
Puck
Pucksignature
RCY · 22 games
64%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Speeed · 20 games
50%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
YamSun · 20 games
45%
Bane
Bane
Bignum · 18 games
56%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
RCY · 18 games
50%
Doom
Doomsignature
YamSun · 15 games
73%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
Disruptor
348 picks · 322 bans
50%
Puck
Puck
329 picks · 829 bans
52%
Snapfire
Snapfire
301 picks · 152 bans
56%
Pugna
Pugna
288 picks · 321 bans
54%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreaker
280 picks · 776 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
275 picks · 245 bans
47%
Warlock
Warlock
271 picks · 123 bans
51%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
267 picks · 171 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)62% vs 44%
Hero pool strength53% Wildcard Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total61% Wildcard Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
OG LATAM 39%Wildcard Gaming 61%
The model gave 61% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by OG LATAM.
Game 2prediction correct
OG LATAM 39%Wildcard Gaming 61%
The model gave 61% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming.
Game 3prediction correct
OG LATAM 39%Wildcard Gaming 61%
The model gave 61% on Wildcard Gaming — the game was taken by Wildcard Gaming.
Model check result
Model favoriteWildcard Gaming · 61%
Series resultWildcard Gaming 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 3