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PGL Wallachia Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
OGloss 0:2
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 0:2
BETBOOM TEAMwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Snapfire
Snapfire
Tims · 29 games
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonsignature
Tims · 26 games
62%
Jakiro
Jakirooften banned
Skem · 25 games
48%
Mars
Marssignature
Force · 23 games
65%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Natsumi · 21 game
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Stojkov · 19 games
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightsignature
Yopaj · 18 games
61%
Axe
Axeoften banned
Force · 17 games
41%

BETBOOM TEAM

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
Save- · 42 games
57%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Kataomi · 38 games
61%
Tusk
Tusksignature
Kataomi · 30 games
60%
Muerta
Muerta
Save- · 25 games
56%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
MieRo · 24 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
Kataomi · 23 games
48%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Kiritych · 23 games
78%
Puck
Puckoften banned
gpK~ · 22 games
45%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
589 picks · 921 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
481 picks · 421 bans
47%
Tiny
Tiny
475 picks · 513 bans
48%
Warlock
Warlock
433 picks · 289 bans
48%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
413 picks · 1050 bans
55%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
395 picks · 579 bans
57%
Mars
Mars
388 picks · 565 bans
48%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
386 picks · 666 bans
60%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 53%
Hero pool strength56% BETBOOM TEAM
Head-to-head3 – 1
Model total51% BETBOOM TEAM
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed19:32
OG 50%BETBOOM TEAM 50%
The model gave 50% on OG — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 44:36.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Abaddon
AbaddonNatsumi
57% · 341 game52% · 175 games
Templar AssassinKiritych
Templar Assassin
Brewmaster
BrewmasterForce
43% · 145 games43% · 200 games
Queen of PaingpK~
Queen of Pain
Primal Beast
Primal BeastYopaj
51% · 167 games44% · 260 games
MarsMieRo
Mars
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonTims
56% · 386 games44% · 61 game
LionSave-
Lion
Mirana
MiranaSkem
62% · 73 games48% · 416 games
JakiroKataomi
Jakiro
Game 2prediction correct28:30
OG 47%BETBOOM TEAM 53%
The model gave 53% on BETBOOM TEAM — the game was taken by BETBOOM TEAM in 57:00.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Kez
KezNatsumi
48% · 125 games51% · 236 games
Shadow FiendKiritych
Shadow Fiend
Monkey King
Monkey KingYopaj
54% · 257 games50% · 366 games
Ember SpiritgpK~
Ember Spirit
Dark Seer
Dark SeerForce
48% · 229 games53% · 262 games
SlardarMieRo
Slardar
Hoodwink
HoodwinkTims
49% · 390 games50% · 445 games
RingmasterSave-
Ringmaster
Jakiro
JakiroSkem
46% · 769 games52% · 461 game
TuskKataomi
Tusk
Model check result
Model favoriteBETBOOM TEAM · 51%
Series resultBETBOOM TEAM 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 2