The International 2026 · BO3
result vs predictionseries probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
OG
Tinyoften banned
Yopaj · 20 games
Windranger
Tims · 20 games
Hoodwink
Tims · 19 games
Puckoften banned
Yopaj · 17 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Tims · 15 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Skem · 14 games
Mirana
Skem · 14 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Raven · 12 games
GamerLegion
Kezoften banned
RCY · 19 games
Tusksignature
Bignum · 19 games
Dark Willow
Bignum · 17 games
Rubick
Bignum · 17 games
Hoodwink
Bignum · 16 games
Phoenix
Speeed · 16 games
Slardaroften banned
Fayde · 16 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
RCY · 16 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
513 picks · 361 bans
Bane
359 picks · 432 bans
Clockwerk
348 picks · 619 bans
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 481 bans
Shadow Fiend
317 picks · 610 bans
Tiny
311 picks · 346 bans
Rubick
304 picks · 166 bans
Windranger
304 picks · 219 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)37% vs 43%
Hero pool strength52% GamerLegion
Head-to-head2 – 0
Model total60% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed10:25
OG 55%GamerLegion 45%
The model gave 55% on OG — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 34:29.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom LancerNatsumi
LinaGhost
Primal BeastYopaj
DawnbreakerFayde
Night StalkerRaven
Earth SpiritRCY
WindrangerTims
Winter WyvernSpeeed
MiranaSkem
Dark WillowBignum
Game 2prediction missed9:36
OG 54%GamerLegion 46%
The model gave 54% on OG — the game was taken by GamerLegion in 31:44.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
WindrangerNatsumi
NecrophosGhost
ViperRaven
Centaur WarrunnerFayde
SlardarYopaj
Ember SpiritRCY
HoodwinkTims
MiranaSpeeed
UndyingSkem
Dark WillowBignum
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 60%
Series resultGamerLegion 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2