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GAMERS GALAXY: Invitational Series Dubai 2022 · BO1
result vs prediction
OGwin 1:0
series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Nigma Galaxy SEAloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Snapfire
Snapfire
Taiga · 14 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
ATF · 12 games
33%
Bane
Bane
Misha · 11 games
55%
Clinkz
Clinkz
SumaiL · 9 games
56%
Razor
Razorsignature
Yuragi · 9 games
67%
Invoker
Invokeroften banned
bzm · 8 games
38%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
bzm · 8 games
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Taiga · 8 games
63%

Nigma Galaxy SEA

Snapfire
Snapfire
Jhocam · 6 games
50%
Tiny
Tinysignature
AlaCrity · 6 games
83%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
AlaCrity · 4 games
50%
Lion
Lion
Jhocam · 4 games
75%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
inYourdreaM · 4 games
50%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breakeroften banned
Meracle · 4 games
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunteroften banned
Poloson · 4 games
50%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Meracle · 4 games
75%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Bane
Bane
541 picks · 362 bans
58%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
473 picks · 575 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
438 picks · 588 bans
53%
Weaver
Weaver
415 picks · 734 bans
53%
Kunkka
Kunkka
347 picks · 537 bans
54%
Spirit Breaker
Spirit Breaker
342 picks · 574 bans
53%
Snapfire
Snapfire
334 picks · 169 bans
46%
Wraith King
Wraith King
281 picks · 353 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 64%
Hero pool strength52% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Nigma Galaxy SEA
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:17
OG 50%Nigma Galaxy SEA 50%
The model gave 50% on Nigma Galaxy SEA — the game was taken by OG in 33:41.
Model check result
Model favoriteNigma Galaxy SEA · 50%
Series resultOG 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1