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CCT Season 2 Series 2 · BO3
result vs prediction
OGwin 2:0
series probability
78%22%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Passion UAloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

OG

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Nine · 21 game
38%
Jakiro
Jakiro
Kidaro · 18 games
50%
Muerta
Muerta
Daze · 15 games
27%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Nine · 15 games
53%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knight
Stormstormer · 14 games
36%
Warlock
Warlock
Kidaro · 14 games
50%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demonoften banned
Daze · 12 games
42%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinoften banned
23savage · 11 games
36%

Passion UA

Tiny
Tinyoften banned
niche · 23 games
35%
Muerta
Muerta
Fernans · 19 games
53%
Doom
Doomoften banned
Batyuk · 17 games
53%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopteroften banned
Crystallize · 16 games
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
QBFY · 14 games
21%
Phoenix
Phoenix
kreker · 14 games
36%
Windranger
Windranger
QBFY · 13 games
31%
Jakiro
Jakiro
kreker · 12 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
Tiny
507 picks · 538 bans
49%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
446 picks · 494 bans
55%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
433 picks · 229 bans
52%
Jakiro
Jakiro
389 picks · 286 bans
46%
Tusk
Tusk
376 picks · 359 bans
48%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
366 picks · 808 bans
48%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
357 picks · 516 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
353 picks · 526 bans
49%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)33% vs 33%
Hero pool strength50% Passion UA
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total78% OG
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
OG 78%Passion UA 22%
The model gave 78% on OG — the game was taken by OG.
Game 2prediction correct
OG 78%Passion UA 22%
The model gave 78% on OG — the game was taken by OG.
Model check result
Model favoriteOG · 78%
Series resultOG 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2