BTS Pro Series Season 9. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Omega Esportsloss 0:2series probability
12%88%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Motivate.Trust Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Omega Esports
Bristlebackoften banned
Mac · 5 games
Centaur Warrunner
Sam_H · 5 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
cml · 5 games
Broodmotheroften banned
Sam_H · 4 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Sam_H · 4 games
Faceless Voidoften banned
Tino- · 4 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mac · 4 games
Tinyoften banned
Tino- · 4 games
Motivate.Trust Gaming
Lionsignature
Q · 23 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Fearless · 13 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Q · 12 games
Gyrocoptersignature
JaCkky · 10 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Fearless · 10 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
LionaX · 9 games
Medusaoften banned
JaCkky · 9 games
Miranasignature
Q · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
258 picks · 345 bans
Lion
257 picks · 146 bans
Tidehunter
251 picks · 385 bans
Lina
243 picks · 507 bans
Monkey King
226 picks · 494 bans
Pangolier
225 picks · 317 bans
Tiny
220 picks · 292 bans
Void Spirit
214 picks · 251 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)14% vs 52%
Hero pool strength59% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total88% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteMotivate.Trust Gaming · 88%
Series resultMotivate.Trust Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect