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RES Regional Series: EU #2 · BO2
result vs prediction
One Movewin 2:0
series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:0
B8 Esportsloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

One Move

Hoodwink
Hoodwink
queezy · 10 games
30%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
SSS · 8 games
38%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
Rein · 8 games
50%
Mars
Marsoften banned
SSS · 8 games
25%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Wein · 7 games
14%
Leshrac
Leshracoften banned
xn丶e · 6 games
50%
Morphling
Morphlingoften banned
nesfeer · 6 games
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
Panto · 6 games
17%

B8 Esports

Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
CTOMAHEH1 · 23 games
57%
Grimstroke
Grimstroke
CTOMAHEH1 · 18 games
44%
Magnus
Magnusoften banned
Dendi · 18 games
39%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Dendi · 17 games
47%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
StoneBank · 16 games
44%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Mary_y · 14 games
57%
Night Stalker
Night Stalkeroften banned
StoneBank · 14 games
50%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Mary_y · 14 games
64%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
483 picks · 213 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
445 picks · 622 bans
53%
Batrider
Batrider
411 picks · 736 bans
52%
Rubick
Rubick
395 picks · 158 bans
50%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
391 picks · 543 bans
52%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
382 picks · 325 bans
51%
Pangolier
Pangolier
363 picks · 736 bans
52%
Mars
Mars
337 picks · 548 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)41% vs 36%
Hero pool strength58% B8 Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total57% One Move
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:12
One Move 57%B8 Esports 43%
The model gave 57% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move in 33:20.
Game 2prediction correct24:38
One Move 57%B8 Esports 43%
The model gave 57% on One Move — the game was taken by One Move in 50:01.
Model check result
Model favoriteOne Move · 57%
Series resultOne Move 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2