ESL One Bangkok 2024. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Pacific esportsloss 0:1series probability
54%46%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Fantasy Gamingwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Pacific esports
No games played over 6 months.
Fantasy Gaming
Enchantressoften banned
JimmyCoff666 · 2 games
Hoodwink
Zxca · 2 games
Brewmasteroften banned
drakesh1t · 1 game
Chaos Knightoften banned
DM · 1 game
Doomoften banned
drakesh1t · 1 game
Dragon Knightoften banned
Robo-Z · 1 game
Night Stalker
drakesh1t · 1 game
Ogre Magi
JimmyCoff666 · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tusk
422 picks · 533 bans
Clockwerk
372 picks · 365 bans
Pangolier
321 picks · 441 bans
Luna
311 picks · 366 bans
Enchantress
300 picks · 564 bans
Dark Willow
274 picks · 147 bans
Dragon Knight
261 picks · 344 bans
Shadow Demon
256 picks · 951 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% Pacific esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total54% Pacific esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed21:43
Pacific esports 54%Fantasy Gaming 46%
The model gave 54% on Pacific esports — the game was taken by Fantasy Gaming in 46:33.
Model check result
Model favoritePacific esports · 54%
Series resultFantasy Gaming 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1