The International 2025. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs predictionPPARACETAMOLloss 1:2
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 1:2
M4my 4 and 3 eldne ringwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PARACETAMOL
No games played over 6 months.
my 4 and 3 eldne ring
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
480 picks · 446 bans
Tiny
472 picks · 546 bans
Ringmaster
443 picks · 225 bans
Terrorblade
348 picks · 674 bans
Storm Spirit
310 picks · 459 bans
Ancient Apparition
298 picks · 689 bans
Tusk
295 picks · 244 bans
Windranger
286 picks · 86 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 50%
Hero pool strength50% PARACETAMOL
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% my 4 and 3 eldne ring
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct27:29
PARACETAMOL 33%my 4 and 3 eldne ring 67%
The model gave 67% on my 4 and 3 eldne ring — the game was taken by my 4 and 3 eldne ring in 44:24.
Game 2prediction correct57:31
PARACETAMOL 33%my 4 and 3 eldne ring 67%
The model gave 67% on my 4 and 3 eldne ring — the game was taken by my 4 and 3 eldne ring in 49:25.
Game 3prediction correct31:33
PARACETAMOL 33%my 4 and 3 eldne ring 67%
The model gave 67% on my 4 and 3 eldne ring — the game was taken by my 4 and 3 eldne ring in 44:35.
Model check result
Model favoritemy 4 and 3 eldne ring · 67%
Series resultmy 4 and 3 eldne ring 1:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game3 of 3