Winline Dota 2 Champions League Season 14 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARI PARNIloss 0:2series probability
51%49%
probability at match start · final 0:2
HFwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PARI PARNI
No games played over 6 months.
HF
Sand Kingsignature
Cloud · 16 games
Miranasignature
ArrOw · 14 games
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 13 games
Pucksignature
hAze · 13 games
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 12 games
Shadow Shaman
Kaori · 12 games
Beastmastersignature
Cloud · 10 games
Iosignature
Kaori · 10 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Tiny
698 picks · 509 bans
Puck
503 picks · 981 bans
Dawnbreaker
413 picks · 525 bans
Marci
386 picks · 697 bans
Snapfire
385 picks · 195 bans
Winter Wyvern
325 picks · 321 bans
Zeus
301 picks · 316 bans
Monkey King
290 picks · 615 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 59%
Hero pool strength54% HF
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% PARI PARNI
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed30:23
PARI PARNI 51%HF 49%
The model gave 51% on PARI PARNI — the game was taken by HF in 36:20.
Game 2prediction missed26:8
PARI PARNI 51%HF 49%
The model gave 51% on PARI PARNI — the game was taken by HF in 25:21.
Model check result
Model favoritePARI PARNI · 51%
Series resultHF 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2