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DreamLeague Season 25 · BO2
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONloss 0:2
series probability
43%57%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Team Spiritwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Batrider
Batridersignature
9Class · 24 games
79%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
DM · 21 game
67%
Alchemist
Alchemistoften banned
Crystallis · 20 games
50%
Chen
Chensignature
Dukalis · 20 games
80%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Dukalis · 20 games
70%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 20 games
70%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
DM · 19 games
53%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 19 games
63%

Team Spirit

Batrider
Batridersignature
rue · 29 games
66%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
rue · 28 games
64%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Satanic · 25 games
56%
Tiny
Tinysignature
Larl · 22 games
82%
Tusk
Tusk
Miposhka · 22 games
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
Miposhka · 21 game
62%
Lion
Lion
rue · 21 game
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Larl · 21 game
71%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Phoenix
Phoenix
528 picks · 781 bans
52%
Tiny
Tiny
503 picks · 597 bans
50%
Clockwerk
Clockwerk
500 picks · 524 bans
54%
Batrider
Batrider
479 picks · 591 bans
50%
Muerta
Muerta
457 picks · 389 bans
51%
Magnus
Magnus
438 picks · 996 bans
58%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
427 picks · 791 bans
56%
Bristleback
Bristleback
389 picks · 903 bans
58%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 61%
Hero pool strength55% PARIVISION
Head-to-head2 – 3
Model total57% Team Spirit
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct2:21
PARIVISION 47%Team Spirit 53%
The model gave 53% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 19:49.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistSatanic
50% · 73 games52% · 170 games
BristlebackYatoro
Bristleback
Lycan
LycanDM
53% · 25 games51% · 44 games
SlardarLarl
Slardar
Invoker
InvokerNo[o]ne
40% · 87 games45% · 30 games
AbaddonCollapse
Abaddon
Elder Titan
Elder TitanDukalis
47% · 62 games49% · 25 games
Rikirue
Riki
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin9Class
54% · 54 games61% · 32 games
OracleMiposhka
Oracle
Game 2prediction correct10:34
PARIVISION 49%Team Spirit 51%
The model gave 51% on Team Spirit — the game was taken by Team Spirit in 25:58.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Alchemist
AlchemistSatanic
42% · 145 games47% · 285 games
MorphlingYatoro
Morphling
Invoker
InvokerNo[o]ne
53% · 154 games42% · 152 games
DawnbreakerCollapse
Dawnbreaker
Enigma
EnigmaDM
61% · 134 games52% · 235 games
Monkey KingLarl
Monkey King
Warlock
WarlockDukalis
57% · 31 game51% · 69 games
Bounty Hunterrue
Bounty Hunter
Clockwerk
Clockwerk9Class
51% · 295 games51% · 18 games
Winter WyvernMiposhka
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoriteTeam Spirit · 57%
Series resultTeam Spirit 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2