BLAST Slam VII · BO1
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONloss 0:1series probability
75%25%
probability at match start · final 0:1
Team Yandexwin 1:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
PARIVISION
Slardarsignature
SSS · 35 games
Kezsignature
Satanic · 29 games
Beastmastersignature
No[o]ne · 24 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 24 games
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 24 games
Phoenixsignature
Dukalis · 22 games
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 20 games
Rubicksignature
9Class · 20 games
Team Yandex
Jakirosignature
Malady · 33 games
Tusksignature
Saksa · 29 games
Tiny
Saksa · 27 games
Shadow Demonsignature
Saksa · 26 games
Slardarsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 25 games
Shadow Shamansignature
Saksa · 23 games
Templar Assassinsignature
Watson · 23 games
Windrangersignature
Saksa · 19 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
548 picks · 340 bans
Phoenix
477 picks · 565 bans
Rubick
443 picks · 234 bans
Tiny
429 picks · 355 bans
Pangolier
368 picks · 504 bans
Puck
323 picks · 849 bans
Jakiro
317 picks · 214 bans
Beastmaster
316 picks · 800 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)72% vs 64%
Hero pool strength52% PARIVISION
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total75% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:44
PARIVISION 64%Team Yandex 36%
The model gave 64% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 51:57.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
NecrophosSatanic
Lone DruidWatson
Storm SpiritNo[o]ne
PhoenixDM
TimbersawNoticed
SlardarChira JUNIOR
Keeper of the Light9Class
RubickSaksa
ClockwerkDukalis
LichMalady
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 75%
Series resultTeam Yandex 0:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1