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BLAST Slam VIII · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONloss 1:2
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Team Yandexwin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightsignature
9Class · 28 games
79%
Pangolier
Pangoliersignature
No[o]ne · 28 games
93%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
Noticed · 27 games
70%
Rubick
Rubicksignature
9Class · 25 games
76%
Kez
Kezsignature
Satanic · 23 games
87%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
No[o]ne · 22 games
73%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
Dukalis · 20 games
80%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
9Class · 19 games
84%

Team Yandex

Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvernsignature
Malady · 22 games
91%
Hoodwink
Hoodwinksignature
Saksa · 21 game
62%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Chira JUNIOR · 19 games
79%
Kez
Kezsignature
Watson · 17 games
82%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophetsignature
Watson · 17 games
76%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 16 games
63%
Dark Willow
Dark Willowsignature
Saksa · 13 games
85%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritsignature
Chira JUNIOR · 13 games
69%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
528 picks · 320 bans
50%
Dark Willow
Dark Willow
439 picks · 212 bans
51%
Mirana
Mirana
393 picks · 177 bans
52%
Winter Wyvern
Winter Wyvern
338 picks · 310 bans
58%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
334 picks · 507 bans
57%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
314 picks · 298 bans
53%
Earth Spirit
Earth Spirit
297 picks · 510 bans
52%
Windranger
Windranger
282 picks · 138 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)81% vs 72%
Hero pool strength55% PARIVISION
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total68% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct37:22
PARIVISION 59%Team Yandex 41%
The model gave 59% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 55:04.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Io
IoSatanic
62% · 32 games57% · 134 games
Lone DruidWatson
Lone Druid
Timbersaw
TimbersawNoticed
58% · 138 games44% · 148 games
DawnbreakerATF
Dawnbreaker
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritNo[o]ne
47% · 217 games47% · 241 game
Nature's ProphetChira JUNIOR
Nature's Prophet
Hoodwink
HoodwinkDukalis
52% · 451 game46% · 409 games
WindrangerSaksa
Windranger
Dark Willow
Dark Willow9Class
44% · 238 games49% · 144 games
DazzleMalady
Dazzle
Game 2prediction missed33:29
PARIVISION 61%Team Yandex 39%
The model gave 61% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 51:53.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeSatanic
50% · 176 games51% · 235 games
Nature's ProphetWatson
Nature's Prophet
Pangolier
PangolierNo[o]ne
47% · 370 games43% · 344 games
Dragon KnightChira JUNIOR
Dragon Knight
Slardar
SlardarNoticed
48% · 245 games58% · 331 game
DoomATF
Doom
Winter Wyvern
Winter WyvernDukalis
53% · 180 games46% · 484 games
RubickSaksa
Rubick
Hoodwink
Hoodwink9Class
54% · 715 games51% · 292 games
TechiesMalady
Techies
Game 3prediction missed0:0
PARIVISION 57%Team Yandex 43%
The model gave 57% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by Team Yandex in 49:52.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeSatanic
51% · 172 games54% · 205 games
KezWatson
Kez
Snapfire
SnapfireNo[o]ne
48% · 252 games53% · 140 games
InvokerChira JUNIOR
Invoker
Doom
DoomNoticed
52% · 278 games44% · 381 game
PangolierATF
Pangolier
Techies
TechiesDukalis
50% · 239 games47% · 337 games
RubickSaksa
Rubick
Clockwerk
Clockwerk9Class
49% · 305 games50% · 183 games
Winter WyvernMalady
Winter Wyvern
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 68%
Series resultTeam Yandex 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3