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DreamLeague Season 26 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yakult Brothersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Terrorblade
Terrorbladesignature
Satanic · 37 games
81%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 29 games
69%
Bristleback
Bristlebacksignature
DM · 28 games
82%
Phantom Assassin
Phantom Assassinsignature
Satanic · 26 games
73%
Beastmaster
Beastmastersignature
DM · 25 games
60%
Tiny
Tinysignature
No[o]ne · 23 games
65%
Enigma
Enigmasignature
DM · 22 games
77%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingoften banned
No[o]ne · 22 games
59%

Yakult Brothers

Clockwerk
Clockwerk
BoBoKa · 23 games
57%
Phoenix
Phoenix
天命 · 21 game
52%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritsignature
Emo · 21 game
76%
Terrorblade
Terrorbladeoften banned
zeal · 19 games
47%
Tiny
Tinyoften banned
Emo · 19 games
42%
Magnus
Magnussignature
BoBoKa · 18 games
67%
Batrider
Batrider
BoBoKa · 17 games
35%
Puck
Pucksignature
Emo · 17 games
65%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
496 picks · 488 bans
50%
Tiny
Tiny
440 picks · 561 bans
50%
Ringmaster
Ringmaster
417 picks · 199 bans
52%
Terrorblade
Terrorblade
322 picks · 573 bans
47%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
282 picks · 396 bans
53%
Tusk
Tusk
281 picks · 168 bans
48%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
273 picks · 588 bans
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
264 picks · 468 bans
55%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)67% vs 50%
Hero pool strength60% PARIVISION
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total90% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct25:38
PARIVISION 75%Yakult Brothers 25%
The model gave 75% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 53:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless Void
Faceless VoidSatanic
66% · 40 games53% · 183 games
Storm SpiritEmo
Storm Spirit
Bristleback
BristlebackDM
53% · 251 game45% · 226 games
PangolierBEYOND
Pangolier
Void Spirit
Void SpiritNo[o]ne
47% · 73 games49% · 84 games
Night Stalkerflyfly
Night Stalker
Death Prophet
Death ProphetDukalis
46% · 21 game45% · 39 games
Keeper of the LightBoBoKa
Keeper of the Light
Dark Willow
Dark Willow9Class
47% · 186 games50% · 39 games
Ancient ApparitionOli
Ancient Apparition
Game 2prediction correct43:18
PARIVISION 77%Yakult Brothers 23%
The model gave 77% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 45:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaSatanic
48% · 156 games43% · 59 games
Lunaflyfly
Luna
Earthshaker
EarthshakerNo[o]ne
52% · 142 games48% · 182 games
Dark SeerBEYOND
Dark Seer
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerDM
50% · 186 games44% · 164 games
Storm SpiritEmo
Storm Spirit
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman9Class
57% · 103 games55% · 121 game
MagnusBoBoKa
Magnus
Oracle
OracleDukalis
51% · 37 games48% · 98 games
EnchantressOli
Enchantress
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 90%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2