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PGL Wallachia Season 7 · BO3
result vs prediction
PARIVISIONwin 2:0
series probability
90%10%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Yellow Submarineloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

PARIVISION

Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
9Class · 24 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakirosignature
Dukalis · 20 games
70%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
DM · 19 games
84%
Chen
Chenoften banned
Dukalis · 16 games
44%
Kez
Kezoften banned
Satanic · 16 games
38%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
No[o]ne · 15 games
47%
Slardar
Slardarsignature
No[o]ne · 15 games
60%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
No[o]ne · 13 games
54%

Yellow Submarine

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Htrd · 29 games
66%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 26 games
54%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
sayuw · 24 games
42%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Infernal · 20 games
60%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritsignature
Mirele · 20 games
60%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Mirele · 17 games
53%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Mirele · 17 games
35%
Warlock
Warlock
Htrd · 17 games
53%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
579 picks · 916 bans
50%
Tusk
Tusk
478 picks · 419 bans
47%
Tiny
Tiny
465 picks · 505 bans
49%
Warlock
Warlock
423 picks · 280 bans
47%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
412 picks · 1032 bans
55%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
395 picks · 572 bans
57%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
385 picks · 662 bans
59%
Mars
Mars
381 picks · 555 bans
48%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 58%
Hero pool strength55% PARIVISION
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total90% PARIVISION
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct33:14
PARIVISION 75%Yellow Submarine 25%
The model gave 75% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 42:07.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaSatanic
48% · 186 games50% · 508 games
PuckMirele
Puck
Beastmaster
BeastmasterNo[o]ne
46% · 269 games42% · 21 game
Zeusbottega
Zeus
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur WarrunnerSSS
53% · 272 games52% · 268 games
UnderlordInfernal
Underlord
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman9Class
54% · 263 games58% · 39 games
Earth Spiritprblms
Earth Spirit
Jakiro
JakiroDukalis
46% · 450 games48% · 604 games
RingmasterHtrd
Ringmaster
Game 2prediction correct36:36
PARIVISION 73%Yellow Submarine 27%
The model gave 73% on PARIVISION — the game was taken by PARIVISION in 55:21.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Ursa
UrsaSatanic
49% · 195 games51% · 233 games
Void SpiritMirele
Void Spirit
Huskar
HuskarNo[o]ne
56% · 64 games50% · 147 games
Lifestealerbottega
Lifestealer
Mars
MarsSSS
47% · 298 games49% · 221 game
UnderlordInfernal
Underlord
Warlock
WarlockDukalis
43% · 289 games49% · 399 games
Ringmasterprblms
Ringmaster
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman9Class
49% · 242 games58% · 88 games
Treant ProtectorHtrd
Treant Protector
Model check result
Model favoritePARIVISION · 90%
Series resultPARIVISION 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2