BTS Pro Series Season 9. ЮВА · BO2
result vs prediction
Polaris Esportsloss 0:2series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Motivate.Trust Gamingwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Polaris Esports
Lion
cml · 7 games
Tidehunteroften banned
Force · 6 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Mac · 5 games
Mirana
Boomy · 5 games
Pangolieroften banned
Boomy · 5 games
Death Prophetoften banned
Mac · 4 games
Gyrocopteroften banned
Natsumi · 4 games
Lifestealeroften banned
Natsumi · 4 games
Motivate.Trust Gaming
Lionsignature
Q · 24 games
Clockwerksignature
Q · 13 games
Storm Spiritsignature
Fearless · 13 games
Gyrocoptersignature
JaCkky · 10 games
Kunkkaoften banned
Fearless · 10 games
Ancient Apparitionsignature
LionaX · 9 games
Medusaoften banned
JaCkky · 9 games
Miranasignature
Q · 9 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Lion
279 picks · 153 bans
Mars
261 picks · 351 bans
Lina
254 picks · 516 bans
Tidehunter
247 picks · 385 bans
Pangolier
232 picks · 331 bans
Monkey King
225 picks · 475 bans
Tiny
222 picks · 298 bans
Shadow Demon
221 picks · 234 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)39% vs 50%
Hero pool strength59% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 2
Model total67% Motivate.Trust Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Model check result
Model favoriteMotivate.Trust Gaming · 67%
Series resultMotivate.Trust Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect