Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
Poor Rangersloss 1:1series probability
55%45%
probability at match start · final 1:1
Xtreme Gamingloss 1:1The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Poor Rangers
Tiny
TA2000 · 4 games
Clockwerkoften banned
Hduo · 3 games
Drow Rangeroften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
Viperoften banned
nicky`cool · 3 games
Disruptor
Hduo · 2 games
Earth Spirit
Alberkaaa · 2 games
Lich
Hduo · 2 games
Magnus
TA2000 · 2 games
Xtreme Gaming
Phoenixoften banned
xNova · 31 game
Hoodwink
fy · 27 games
Marsoften banned
Xxs · 25 games
Tiny
NothingToSay · 24 games
Slardarsignature
Xxs · 20 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
NothingToSay · 19 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Ame · 18 games
Kezoften banned
Ame · 18 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
614 picks · 439 bans
Rubick
553 picks · 319 bans
Tiny
409 picks · 373 bans
Pangolier
407 picks · 592 bans
Phoenix
385 picks · 432 bans
Ember Spirit
339 picks · 494 bans
Storm Spirit
332 picks · 373 bans
Clockwerk
329 picks · 628 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% Xtreme Gaming
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total55% Poor Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed22:28
Poor Rangers 52%Xtreme Gaming 48%
The model gave 52% on Poor Rangers — the game was taken by Xtreme Gaming in 42:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
LifestealerTA2000
Shadow FiendAme
BeastmasterAlberkaaa
Sand KingNothingToSay
Pucknicky`cool
Centaur WarrunnerXxs
WindrangerImmersion
Hoodwinkfy
DisruptorHduo
LichxNova
Game 2prediction correct26:21
Poor Rangers 51%Xtreme Gaming 49%
The model gave 51% on Poor Rangers — the game was taken by Poor Rangers in 39:01.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladeTA2000
MorphlingAme
Keeper of the Lightnicky`cool
PuckNothingToSay
BatriderAlberkaaa
SnapfireXxs
DisruptorHduo
MiranaxNova
Earth SpiritImmersion
Clockwerkfy
Model check result
Model favoritePoor Rangers · 55%
Accuracy by game1 of 2