PREMIER SERIES: Play-In · BO3
result vs prediction
Power Rangerswin 2:0series probability
86%14%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Team Shpilitloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Power Rangers
Shadow Demonoften banned
Immersion · 18 games
Slardarsignature
nicky`cool · 15 games
Centaur Warrunnersignature
Alberkaaa · 14 games
Lunasignature
nesfeer · 14 games
Phoenixsignature
Immersion · 14 games
Razorsignature
nesfeer · 11 games
Templar Assassinsignature
nesfeer · 11 games
Tinyoften banned
nicky`cool · 11 games
Team Shpilit
Nyx Assassin
Kyzko · 5 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
Ainkrad · 3 games
Jakirooften banned
Solo · 3 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Solo · 3 games
Timbersawoften banned
Zarich · 3 games
Windrangeroften banned
zuyzyan · 3 games
Batrideroften banned
Zarich · 2 games
Leshrac
Ainkrad · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
588 picks · 816 bans
Tiny
527 picks · 548 bans
Tusk
427 picks · 393 bans
Warlock
426 picks · 294 bans
Shadow Demon
388 picks · 1016 bans
Ember Spirit
384 picks · 656 bans
Mars
366 picks · 583 bans
Centaur Warrunner
348 picks · 518 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)61% vs 50%
Hero pool strength57% Power Rangers
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total86% Power Rangers
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct34:8
Power Rangers 73%Team Shpilit 27%
The model gave 73% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 27:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Huskarnicky`cool
Muertazuyzyan
Windrangernesfeer
PuckAinkrad
MarsAlberkaaa
Centaur WarrunnerZarich
ChenHduo
MarciKyzko
Shadow DemonImmersion
JakiroSolo
Game 2prediction correct58:43
Power Rangers 71%Team Shpilit 29%
The model gave 71% on Power Rangers — the game was taken by Power Rangers in 45:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Keznesfeer
Storm SpiritAinkrad
Tinynicky`cool
Shadow Fiendzuyzyan
BrewmasterAlberkaaa
MarciZarich
Ancient ApparitionHduo
JakiroSolo
Treant ProtectorImmersion
Shadow ShamanKyzko
Model check result
Model favoritePower Rangers · 86%
Series resultPower Rangers 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2