ONE Esports Singapore Major 2021 · BO2
result vs prediction
Quincy Crewwin 2:0series probability
42%58%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Neon Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Quincy Crew
No games played over 6 months.
Neon Esports
Troll Warlordsignature
Natsumi · 8 games
Elder Titansignature
Jaunuel · 7 games
Keeper of the Lightsignature
Skem · 7 games
Pangoliersignature
PlayHard · 7 games
Pucksignature
Yopaj · 7 games
Miranasignature
Skem · 6 games
Nyx Assassinoften banned
Jaunuel · 5 games
Sand Kingoften banned
PlayHard · 5 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
423 picks · 968 bans
Void Spirit
394 picks · 591 bans
Mars
349 picks · 628 bans
Earth Spirit
308 picks · 271 bans
Death Prophet
304 picks · 612 bans
Rubick
258 picks · 174 bans
Wraith King
250 picks · 417 bans
Monkey King
248 picks · 795 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)64% vs 78%
Hero pool strength62% Neon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total58% Neon Esports
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct29:41
Quincy Crew 42%Neon Esports 58%
The model gave 58% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 45:37.
Game 2prediction correct12:32
Quincy Crew 42%Neon Esports 58%
The model gave 58% on Neon Esports — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 29:06.
Model check result
Model favoriteNeon Esports · 58%
Series resultQuincy Crew 2:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 2