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BetBoom Streamers Battle 13 · BO3
result vs prediction
Recrent Teamwin 2:1
series probability
33%67%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Solo Teamloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Recrent Team

Queen of Pain
Queen of Painoften banned
Recrent · 3 games
33%
Snapfire
Snapfire
Recrent · 3 games
33%
Anti-Mage
Anti-Mageoften banned
Smiling Knight · 2 games
50%
Axe
Axe
kolya_kaBAN68 · 2 games
50%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Petushara · 2 games
50%
Drow Ranger
Drow Ranger
Smiling Knight · 2 games
50%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocopter
Smiling Knight · 2 games
100%
Lich
Lich
Ubica · 2 games
50%

Solo Team

Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Dread · 3 games
67%
Vengeful Spirit
Vengeful Spirit
Бебур · 3 games
67%
Witch Doctor
Witch Doctor
Бебур · 3 games
33%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
ssnovv1 · 2 games
50%
Batrider
Batrideroften banned
Dread · 2 games
50%
Enigma
Enigmaoften banned
Dread · 2 games
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassin
Бебур · 2 games
100%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Dread · 2 games
0%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
544 picks · 329 bans
55%
Phoenix
Phoenix
476 picks · 571 bans
50%
Rubick
Rubick
434 picks · 229 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
423 picks · 354 bans
50%
Pangolier
Pangolier
357 picks · 488 bans
48%
Jakiro
Jakiro
337 picks · 228 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
320 picks · 849 bans
52%
Beastmaster
Beastmaster
318 picks · 817 bans
46%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)57% vs 63%
Hero pool strength51% Solo Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total67% Solo Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed37:10
Recrent Team 41%Solo Team 59%
The model gave 59% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Recrent Team in 28:54.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-Mage
Anti-MageSmiling Knight
48% · 13 games52% · 134 games
Shadow FiendiLTW
Shadow Fiend
Phoenix
Phoenixkolya_kaBAN68
50% · 215 games53% · 61 game
BrewmasterAlberkaaa
Brewmaster
Sniper
SniperRecrent
48% · 56 games46% · 124 games
UnderlordDread
Underlord
Venomancer
VenomancerUbica
51% · 36 games50% · 80 games
BaneSolo
Bane
Clockwerk
ClockwerkShishak
50% · 130 games52% · 51 game
Nyx AssassinБебур
Nyx Assassin
Game 2prediction correct41:42
Recrent Team 41%Solo Team 59%
The model gave 59% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Solo Team in 45:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Bloodseeker
BloodseekerSmiling Knight
71% · 6 games48% · 34 games
LycanDread
Lycan
Nature's Prophet
Nature's ProphetRecrent
57% · 143 games53% · 31 game
MagnusAlberkaaa
Magnus
Legion Commander
Legion Commanderkolya_kaBAN68
38% · 8 games53% · 38 games
KeziLTW
Kez
Grimstroke
GrimstrokeShishak
41% · 36 games45% · 79 games
DisruptorSolo
Disruptor
Lich
LichUbica
45% · 19 games46% · 30 games
LionБебур
Lion
Game 3prediction missed38:30
Recrent Team 42%Solo Team 58%
The model gave 58% on Solo Team — the game was taken by Recrent Team in 44:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Clinkz
ClinkzSmiling Knight
47% · 63 games48% · 174 games
TinyiLTW
Tiny
Slark
Slarkkolya_kaBAN68
42% · 37 games52% · 112 games
AxeAlberkaaa
Axe
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightRecrent
64% · 79 games42% · 43 games
EnigmaDread
Enigma
Dark Willow
Dark WillowShishak
51% · 199 games54% · 124 games
AbaddonSolo
Abaddon
Pudge
PudgeUbica
46% · 75 gameslittle data
Vengeful SpiritБебур
Vengeful Spirit
Model check result
Model favoriteSolo Team · 67%
Series resultRecrent Team 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3