BLAST Slam IV. Открытые квалификации · BO3
result vs prediction
REKONIXwin 2:0series probability
91%9%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Carstensz Esportsloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
REKONIX
Marsoften banned
Fbz · 3 games
Ancient Apparition
Varizh · 2 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
inYourdreaM · 2 games
Hoodwink
dalul · 2 games
Lion
dalul · 2 games
Bane
Varizh · 1 game
Disruptor
Varizh · 1 game
Medusaoften banned
TraVins · 1 game
Carstensz Esports
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
289 picks · 691 bans
Shadow Shaman
285 picks · 178 bans
Disruptor
255 picks · 222 bans
Dawnbreaker
253 picks · 653 bans
Tusk
251 picks · 252 bans
Dark Willow
247 picks · 105 bans
Marci
246 picks · 600 bans
Nature's Prophet
244 picks · 545 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)75% vs 40%
Hero pool strength55% REKONIX
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total91% REKONIX
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
REKONIX 91%Carstensz Esports 9%
The model gave 91% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX.
Game 2prediction correct
REKONIX 91%Carstensz Esports 9%
The model gave 91% on REKONIX — the game was taken by REKONIX.
Model check result
Model favoriteREKONIX · 91%
Series resultREKONIX 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2