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Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs prediction
REKONIXloss 0:2
series probability
37%63%
probability at match start · final 0:2
MOUZwin 2:0
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

REKONIX

Tiny
Tiny
TraVins · 28 games
39%
Puck
Puckoften banned
inYourdreaM · 22 games
45%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 19 games
26%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
dalul · 18 games
56%
Rubick
Rubick
dalul · 18 games
56%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
inYourdreaM · 17 games
59%
Kez
Kezoften banned
TraVins · 17 games
59%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
Varizh · 17 games
47%

MOUZ

Tusk
Tuskoften banned
yamich · 31 game
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Crystallis · 26 games
58%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
BOOM · 23 games
48%
Shadow Fiend
Shadow Fiendoften banned
Crystallis · 23 games
39%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
Lorenof · 19 games
53%
Beastmaster
Beastmasteroften banned
MidOne · 18 games
39%
Clockwerk
Clockwerksignature
yamich · 18 games
61%
Pugna
Pugnasignature
Seleri · 18 games
72%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
616 picks · 437 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
556 picks · 323 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
413 picks · 593 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
407 picks · 370 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
388 picks · 439 bans
49%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
336 picks · 492 bans
51%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
327 picks · 375 bans
47%
Windranger
Windranger
323 picks · 228 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)51% vs 38%
Hero pool strength51% REKONIX
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total63% MOUZ
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct16:43
REKONIX 43%MOUZ 57%
The model gave 57% on MOUZ — the game was taken by MOUZ in 38:24.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Gyrocopter
GyrocopterTraVins
46% · 235 games50% · 168 games
InvokerMidOne
Invoker
Viper
ViperFbz
52% · 128 games49% · 270 games
BristlebackCrystallis
Bristleback
Storm Spirit
Storm SpiritinYourdreaM
49% · 350 games50% · 332 games
BatriderBOOM
Batrider
Enigma
EnigmaVarizh
51% · 86 games55% · 226 games
BanePanto
Bane
Tusk
Tuskdalul
49% · 411 games50% · 214 games
Clockwerkyamich
Clockwerk
Game 2prediction correct23:47
REKONIX 44%MOUZ 56%
The model gave 56% on MOUZ — the game was taken by MOUZ in 41:46.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Muerta
MuertaTraVins
47% · 217 games45% · 170 games
Monkey KingCrystallis
Monkey King
Pangolier
PangolierinYourdreaM
48% · 439 games47% · 295 games
Storm SpiritMidOne
Storm Spirit
Enigma
EnigmaFbz
49% · 75 games42% · 63 games
Dark SeerBOOM
Dark Seer
Ringmaster
Ringmasterdalul
57% · 264 games53% · 472 games
HoodwinkPanto
Hoodwink
Treant Protector
Treant ProtectorVarizh
63% · 180 games48% · 175 games
Clockwerkyamich
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteMOUZ · 63%
Series resultMOUZ 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2