Esports World Cup 2026 по Dota 2 · BO2
result vs predictionseries probability
25%75%
probability at match start · final 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
REKONIX
Tiny
TraVins · 28 games
Puckoften banned
inYourdreaM · 22 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Fbz · 19 games
Rubick
dalul · 18 games
Ember Spiritoften banned
inYourdreaM · 17 games
Hoodwink
dalul · 17 games
Kezoften banned
TraVins · 17 games
Phoenixoften banned
Varizh · 17 games
Vici Gaming
Windranger
shiro · 30 games
Tinysignature
shiro · 23 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Faith_bian · 18 games
Marsoften banned
Faith_bian · 16 games
Phoenixoften banned
y` · 15 games
Rubick
XinQ · 15 games
Storm Spiritoften banned
Xm · 14 games
Jakiro
y` · 13 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
611 picks · 435 bans
Rubick
557 picks · 325 bans
Pangolier
414 picks · 590 bans
Tiny
405 picks · 367 bans
Phoenix
390 picks · 442 bans
Ember Spirit
330 picks · 484 bans
Storm Spirit
324 picks · 372 bans
Windranger
314 picks · 220 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)53% vs 58%
Hero pool strength51% REKONIX
Head-to-head0 – 1
Model total75% Vici Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct17:42
REKONIX 36%Vici Gaming 64%
The model gave 64% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 41:40.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
GyrocopterTraVins
Shadow Fiendshiro
DoomFbz
SnapfireXm
Storm SpiritinYourdreaM
UndyingFaith_bian
ZeusVarizh
MiranaXinQ
Hoodwinkdalul
Baney`
Game 2prediction correct29:30
REKONIX 36%Vici Gaming 64%
The model gave 64% on Vici Gaming — the game was taken by Vici Gaming in 52:56.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Drow RangerTraVins
Shadow Fiendshiro
PangolierinYourdreaM
Storm SpiritXm
AxeFbz
LargoFaith_bian
Crystal MaidenVarizh
HoodwinkXinQ
Windrangerdalul
Undyingy`
Model check result
Model favoriteVici Gaming · 75%
Series resultVici Gaming 0:2
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2