Star Series #3 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rostik999 Clubwin 2:0series probability
50%50%
probability at match start · final 2:0
VooDooSh Clubloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rostik999 Club
No games played over 6 months.
VooDooSh Club
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
582 picks · 355 bans
Phoenix
485 picks · 577 bans
Rubick
469 picks · 249 bans
Tiny
443 picks · 381 bans
Pangolier
394 picks · 544 bans
Puck
333 picks · 899 bans
Beastmaster
327 picks · 831 bans
Ember Spirit
315 picks · 467 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)43% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Rostik999 Club
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total50% Rostik999 Club
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Rostik999 Club 50%VooDooSh Club 50%
The model gave 50% on Rostik999 Club — the game was taken by Rostik999 Club.
Game 2prediction correct
Rostik999 Club 50%VooDooSh Club 50%
The model gave 50% on Rostik999 Club — the game was taken by Rostik999 Club.
Model check result
Model favoriteRostik999 Club · 50%
Series resultRostik999 Club 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2