BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 12 · BO5
result vs prediction
Rostik Teamloss 2:3series probability
57%43%
probability at match start · final 2:3
By_Owl Teamwin 3:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rostik Team
Techies
Воскресенский · 7 games
Dark Seeroften banned
egxrdemxn · 4 games
Jakiro
Воскресенский · 4 games
Juggernaut
zvёzd · 4 games
Shadow Demonoften banned
Vlad · 4 games
Ancient Apparition
Воскресенский · 3 games
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
9970- · 3 games
Earth Spirit
rostislav_999 · 3 games
By_Owl Team
Warlocksignature
by_Owl · 8 games
Disruptoroften banned
by_Owl · 6 games
Doomoften banned
meLes · 6 games
Hoodwinksignature
rostikfacekid · 6 games
Kunkka
Koma` · 6 games
Crystal Maiden
by_Owl · 5 games
Snapfire
Нексюша · 5 games
Magnus
meLes · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
783 picks · 358 bans
Disruptor
583 picks · 585 bans
Hoodwink
575 picks · 300 bans
Jakiro
485 picks · 316 bans
Dragon Knight
481 picks · 566 bans
Tusk
476 picks · 268 bans
Mars
464 picks · 752 bans
Puck
437 picks · 1114 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)69% vs 67%
Hero pool strength50% Rostik Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total57% Rostik Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct39:27
Rostik Team 53%By_Owl Team 47%
The model gave 53% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 55:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
JuggernautiLTW
Tinkeravice
Ember Spiritrostislav_999
WindrangerKoma`
Pudgeegxrdemxn
Doomblindzone
RubickVlad
Snapfirerostikfacekid
Skywrath MageВоскресенский
Dazzleby_Owl
Game 2prediction correct36:20
Rostik Team 55%By_Owl Team 45%
The model gave 55% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 32:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
UrsaiLTW
Phantom LancerKoma`
Underlordegxrdemxn
Pangolieravice
Iorostislav_999
Marsblindzone
Witch DoctorВоскресенский
Crystal Maidenby_Owl
RubickVlad
Windrangerrostikfacekid
Game 3prediction missed31:47
Rostik Team 53%By_Owl Team 47%
The model gave 53% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 39:35.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
GyrocopteriLTW
Nature's Prophetavice
Skywrath Magerostislav_999
Marciblindzone
Legion Commanderegxrdemxn
KezKoma`
PugnaVlad
Windrangerrostikfacekid
OmniknightВоскресенский
Ancient Apparitionby_Owl
Game 4prediction missed5:17
Rostik Team 54%By_Owl Team 46%
The model gave 54% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 27:26.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Phantom LanceriLTW
AlchemistKoma`
Centaur Warrunneregxrdemxn
Morphlingavice
Void Spiritrostislav_999
Marciblindzone
WindrangerVlad
Ringmasterrostikfacekid
Witch DoctorВоскресенский
Undyingby_Owl
Game 5prediction missed3:24
Rostik Team 53%By_Owl Team 47%
The model gave 53% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by By_Owl Team in 25:12.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless VoidiLTW
NecrophosKoma`
Monkey Kingrostislav_999
Meepoavice
Tidehunteregxrdemxn
Centaur Warrunnerblindzone
DisruptorВоскресенский
Warlockby_Owl
TechiesVlad
Snapfirerostikfacekid
Model check result
Model favoriteRostik Team · 57%
Series resultBy_Owl Team 2:3
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 5