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BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 11 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rostik Teamwin 2:0
series probability
60%40%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Stray Teamloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Rostik Team

Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
9970- · 4 games
75%
Juggernaut
Juggernaut
zvёzd · 4 games
75%
Abaddon
Abaddonoften banned
zvёzd · 3 games
67%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
iful · 3 games
33%
Ancient Apparition
Ancient Apparition
Vlad · 2 games
50%
Bounty Hunter
Bounty Hunteroften banned
iful · 2 games
50%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
egxrdemxn · 2 games
50%
Elder Titan
Elder Titan
rostislav_999 · 2 games
100%

Stray Team

Dark Willow
Dark Willow
lowkez · 4 games
75%
Muerta
Muerta
Retsu · 4 games
75%
Pudge
Pudge
DkFogas · 4 games
100%
Rubick
Rubick
lowkez · 4 games
75%
Slardar
Slardar
Stray · 4 games
100%
Weaver
Weaver
Retsu · 4 games
75%
Crystal Maiden
Crystal Maiden
Vovapain · 3 games
33%
Dark Seer
Dark Seeroften banned
DkFogas · 3 games
33%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Disruptor
Disruptor
435 picks · 406 bans
55%
Snapfire
Snapfire
416 picks · 213 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
347 picks · 912 bans
52%
Pugna
Pugna
325 picks · 366 bans
53%
Warlock
Warlock
289 picks · 143 bans
54%
Tusk
Tusk
286 picks · 224 bans
49%
Queen of Pain
Queen of Pain
278 picks · 844 bans
46%
Batrider
Batrider
277 picks · 666 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 63%
Hero pool strength51% Stray Team
Head-to-head1 – 0
Model total60% Rostik Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct20:16
Rostik Team 54%Stray Team 46%
The model gave 54% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 28:10.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Naga Siren
Naga SirenSatanic
65% · 99 games48% · 167 games
Templar AssassinRetsu
Templar Assassin
Magnus
Magnusegxrdemxn
52% · 169 games56% · 33 games
Anti-MageDkFogas
Anti-Mage
Earth Spirit
Earth Spiritrostislav_999
49% · 96 games49% · 243 games
Storm SpiritStray
Storm Spirit
Snapfire
SnapfireVlad
47% · 156 games45% · 215 games
Dark WillowStint
Dark Willow
Disruptor
DisruptorВоскресенский
52% · 150 games38% · 12 games
Winter WyvernVovapain
Winter Wyvern
Game 2prediction correct21:29
Rostik Team 54%Stray Team 46%
The model gave 54% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 32:23.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Terrorblade
TerrorbladeSatanic
47% · 132 games62% · 50 games
SlarkRetsu
Slark
Lycan
Lycanegxrdemxn
55% · 65 games45% · 109 games
Primal BeastDkFogas
Primal Beast
Io
Iorostislav_999
25% · 4 games44% · 38 games
ZeusStray
Zeus
Ogre Magi
Ogre MagiВоскресенский
50% · 54 games45% · 106 games
SnapfireStint
Snapfire
Shadow Demon
Shadow DemonVlad
54% · 76 games55% · 28 games
GrimstrokeVovapain
Grimstroke
Model check result
Model favoriteRostik Team · 60%
Series resultRostik Team 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game2 of 2