BETBOOM Streamers Battle 15 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rostik Teamloss 0:2series probability
62%38%
probability at match start · final 0:2
Cake Teamwin 2:0The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rostik Team
Ancient Apparition
yurapivo · 4 games
Winter Wyvern
Vlad · 3 games
Centaur Warrunner
egxrdemxn · 2 games
Disruptor
Vlad · 2 games
Enigmaoften banned
egxrdemxn · 2 games
Hoodwink
Vlad · 2 games
Magnus
TA2000 · 2 games
Outworld Destroyeroften banned
TA2000 · 2 games
Cake Team
Nature's Prophetoften banned
Cake · 5 games
Techies
Shishak · 4 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Limitless · 3 games
Crystal Maiden
dabex · 3 games
Grimstroke
Shishak · 3 games
Magnus
Cake · 3 games
Dark Seeroften banned
Limitless · 2 games
Doomoften banned
Limitless · 2 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
525 picks · 308 bans
Dark Willow
427 picks · 185 bans
Mirana
386 picks · 172 bans
Ember Spirit
340 picks · 505 bans
Winter Wyvern
326 picks · 296 bans
Centaur Warrunner
315 picks · 311 bans
Earth Spirit
302 picks · 508 bans
Windranger
280 picks · 151 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)46% vs 60%
Hero pool strength53% Cake Team
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total62% Rostik Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed34:39
Rostik Team 58%Cake Team 42%
The model gave 58% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Cake Team in 58:15.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Outworld DestroyerTA2000
BristlebackLimitless
Enchantressegxrdemxn
IoSmiling Knight
Witch DoctorVlad
InvokerCake
Winter Wyvernyurapivo
WindrangerShishak
51% · 113 games
Tuskdabex
Game 2prediction missed70:44
Rostik Team 57%Cake Team 43%
The model gave 57% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Cake Team in 1:10:39.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
UrsaTA2000
Nature's ProphetSmiling Knight
Enigmaegxrdemxn
LycanLimitless
TechiesVlad
SnapfireCake
Dark Willowyurapivo
MiranaShishak
48% · 188 games
Jakirodabex
Model check result
Model favoriteRostik Team · 62%
Series resultCake Team 0:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 2