BetBoom Streamers Battle х Динамо 11 · BO5
result vs prediction
Rostik Teamloss 2:3series probability
65%35%
probability at match start · final 2:3
YBN Teamwin 3:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Rostik Team
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
9970- · 4 games
Juggernaut
zvёzd · 4 games
Abaddonoften banned
zvёzd · 3 games
Dark Seeroften banned
egxrdemxn · 3 games
Jakiro
Воскресенский · 3 games
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
iful · 3 games
Oracle
Vlad · 3 games
Techies
Воскресенский · 3 games
YBN Team
Silencersignature
good_mma · 6 games
Death Prophet
ybicanoooobov · 5 games
Ogre Magi
good_mma · 5 games
Sand Kingoften banned
ybicanoooobov · 5 games
Windranger
ybicanoooobov · 5 games
Magnus
Groom · 4 games
Marcioften banned
EARTHQ · 4 games
Muerta
EARTHQ · 4 games
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Snapfire
461 picks · 236 bans
Disruptor
458 picks · 439 bans
Puck
359 picks · 949 bans
Pugna
326 picks · 372 bans
Warlock
305 picks · 151 bans
Tusk
296 picks · 227 bans
Nature's Prophet
288 picks · 671 bans
Batrider
286 picks · 653 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)70% vs 64%
Hero pool strength55% YBN Team
Head-to-head2 – 2
Model total65% Rostik Team
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed9:26
Rostik Team 59%YBN Team 41%
The model gave 59% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 25:47.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Faceless VoidSatanic
Gyrocopterzvёzd
Sand Kingrostislav_999
Skywrath Mageybicanoooobov
Axeegxrdemxn
Night StalkerGroom
TechiesВоскресенский
Spirit Breakergood_mma
Shadow DemonVlad
Dark WillowEARTHQ
Game 2prediction correct37:39
Rostik Team 57%YBN Team 43%
The model gave 57% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 50:50.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Nature's ProphetSatanic
Tinkerybicanoooobov
Jakiroegxrdemxn
Terrorbladezvёzd
Bounty Hunterrostislav_999
MagnusGroom
TechiesВоскресенский
GrimstrokeEARTHQ
RingmasterVlad
Undyinggood_mma
Game 3prediction correct55:34
Rostik Team 58%YBN Team 42%
The model gave 58% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by Rostik Team in 31:30.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Anti-MageSatanic
Sand Kingybicanoooobov
Leshracrostislav_999
RikiGroom
Batrideregxrdemxn
Svenzvёzd
ZeusВоскресенский
LionEARTHQ
RubickVlad
Clockwerkgood_mma
Game 4prediction missed6:37
Rostik Team 56%YBN Team 44%
The model gave 56% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 26:25.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Templar AssassinSatanic
Faceless Voidzvёzd
Bristlebackegxrdemxn
Omniknightybicanoooobov
Pangolierrostislav_999
EarthshakerGroom
GrimstrokeВоскресенский
Nature's ProphetEARTHQ
Shadow DemonVlad
Snapfiregood_mma
Game 5prediction missed26:64
Rostik Team 57%YBN Team 43%
The model gave 57% on Rostik Team — the game was taken by YBN Team in 55:34.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
TerrorbladeSatanic
Doomzvёzd
Tinyrostislav_999
Slardarybicanoooobov
Dark Seeregxrdemxn
Void SpiritGroom
TechiesВоскресенский
LionEARTHQ
GrimstrokeVlad
Dazzlegood_mma
Model check result
Model favoriteRostik Team · 65%
Series resultYBN Team 2:3
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game2 of 5