Dota Pro Circuit 2021: Season 1 — Китай 2-й дивизион · BO3
result vs prediction
Royal Never Give Upwin 2:0series probability
82%18%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Dalanjing Gamingloss 0:2The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
Royal Never Give Up
No games played over 6 months.
Dalanjing Gaming
Tidehunteroften banned
Newbie · 2 games
Beastmasteroften banned
Newbie · 1 game
Death Prophetoften banned
blessing · 1 game
Ember Spiritoften banned
blessing · 1 game
Kunkkaoften banned
blessing · 1 game
Lycanoften banned
Eros · 1 game
Medusaoften banned
Eros · 1 game
Monkey Kingoften banned
Eros · 1 game
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Puck
349 picks · 727 bans
Void Spirit
327 picks · 424 bans
Mars
277 picks · 495 bans
Earth Spirit
258 picks · 217 bans
Death Prophet
241 picks · 360 bans
Rubick
233 picks · 130 bans
Keeper of the Light
220 picks · 459 bans
Nyx Assassin
216 picks · 667 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)58% vs 18%
Hero pool strength50% Royal Never Give Up
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total82% Royal Never Give Up
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Royal Never Give Up 82%Dalanjing Gaming 18%
The model gave 82% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Royal Never Give Up.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoyal Never Give Up · 82%
Series resultRoyal Never Give Up 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game1 of 1