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Huya Winter Invitational 2021 · BO3
result vs prediction
Royal Never Give Uploss 1:2
series probability
68%32%
probability at match start · final 1:2
Neon Esportswin 2:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Royal Never Give Up

No games played over 6 months.

Neon Esports

Lion
Lion
NARMAN · 21 game
57%
Mars
Marsoften banned
xiaoyu154 · 17 games
59%
Mirana
Mirana
NARMAN · 16 games
50%
Nyx Assassin
Nyx Assassinsignature
Tims · 16 games
63%
Nature's Prophet
Nature's Prophet
Skem · 15 games
53%
Dark Seer
Dark Seersignature
Enryu · 14 games
79%
Gyrocopter
Gyrocoptersignature
Unknown- · 14 games
64%
Leshrac
Leshracsignature
Enryu · 13 games
62%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
369 picks · 543 bans
48%
Bane
Bane
345 picks · 256 bans
59%
Snapfire
Snapfire
339 picks · 204 bans
45%
Weaver
Weaver
322 picks · 718 bans
56%
Monkey King
Monkey King
244 picks · 739 bans
55%
Disruptor
Disruptor
242 picks · 156 bans
52%
Io
Io
241 picks · 570 bans
50%
Tidehunter
Tidehunter
235 picks · 377 bans
47%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)63% vs 29%
Hero pool strength56% Neon Esports
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total68% Royal Never Give Up
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed23:37
Royal Never Give Up 68%Neon Esports 32%
The model gave 68% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 34:59.
Game 2prediction missed20:32
Royal Never Give Up 68%Neon Esports 32%
The model gave 68% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 37:59.
Game 3prediction missed30:15
Royal Never Give Up 68%Neon Esports 32%
The model gave 68% on Royal Never Give Up — the game was taken by Neon Esports in 32:55.
Model check result
Model favoriteRoyal Never Give Up · 68%
Series resultNeon Esports 1:2
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 3