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DreamLeague Division 2 Season 4 · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eaterswin 2:1
series probability
35%65%
probability at match start · final 2:1
Nemiga Gamingloss 1:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Rune Eaters

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 48 games
67%
Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 42 games
48%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 37 games
46%
Tusk
Tusk
ani-san · 37 games
54%
Tiny
Tiny
ani-san · 33 games
39%
Ogre Magi
Ogre Magisignature
monodrama · 31 game
81%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunneroften banned
Ankou · 27 games
56%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ankou · 26 games
58%

Nemiga Gaming

Jakiro
Jakiro
VaniLLl · 22 games
36%
Puck
Puckoften banned
young G · 16 games
56%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
ariel · 15 games
47%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
Covisnine · 14 games
57%
Phoenix
Phoenixoften banned
VaniLLl · 12 games
50%
Disruptor
Disruptor
VaniLLl · 11 games
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spiritoften banned
young G · 11 games
45%
Shadow Shaman
Shadow Shaman
ariel · 11 games
55%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Jakiro
Jakiro
612 picks · 571 bans
48%
Tiny
Tiny
521 picks · 415 bans
49%
Tusk
Tusk
468 picks · 411 bans
52%
Phoenix
Phoenix
459 picks · 523 bans
53%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
452 picks · 229 bans
57%
Warlock
Warlock
401 picks · 251 bans
49%
Shadow Demon
Shadow Demon
390 picks · 1036 bans
56%
Puck
Puck
387 picks · 899 bans
52%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)48% vs 55%
Hero pool strength53% Rune Eaters
Head-to-head2 – 1
Model total65% Nemiga Gaming
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction correct
Rune Eaters 35%Nemiga Gaming 65%
The model gave 65% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Nemiga Gaming.
Game 2prediction missed
Rune Eaters 35%Nemiga Gaming 65%
The model gave 65% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Rune Eaters.
Game 3prediction missed
Rune Eaters 35%Nemiga Gaming 65%
The model gave 65% on Nemiga Gaming — the game was taken by Rune Eaters.
Model check result
Model favoriteNemiga Gaming · 65%
Series resultRune Eaters 2:1
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game1 of 3