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Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 2 — Восточная Европа · BO3
result vs prediction
Rune Eaterswin 2:0
series probability
72%28%
probability at match start · final 2:0
Wayfarersloss 0:2
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Rune Eaters

Mars
Marsoften banned
Cloud · 6 games
50%
Tiny
Tinysignature
TA2000 · 6 games
67%
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the Lightoften banned
ArrOw · 5 games
40%
Mirana
Mirana
ArrOw · 5 games
60%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
hAze · 5 games
60%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
25%
Sand King
Sand Kingoften banned
Cloud · 4 games
75%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
TA2000 · 3 games
33%

Wayfarers

Death Prophet
Death Prophetoften banned
Lorenof · 17 games
53%
Bane
Bane
HappyDyurara · 12 games
42%
Pangolier
Pangolieroften banned
meLes · 12 games
50%
Enchantress
Enchantresssignature
HappyDyurara · 11 games
82%
Kunkka
Kunkkaoften banned
Alberkaaa · 11 games
55%
Monkey King
Monkey Kingsignature
Alberkaaa · 11 games
73%
Invoker
Invokersignature
Squad1x · 10 games
90%
Mirana
Miranasignature
Immersion · 10 games
70%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
Mars
468 picks · 628 bans
49%
Tiny
Tiny
451 picks · 497 bans
50%
Bane
Bane
444 picks · 278 bans
57%
Sand King
Sand King
405 picks · 532 bans
54%
Death Prophet
Death Prophet
361 picks · 799 bans
55%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spirit
345 picks · 552 bans
55%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
337 picks · 557 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
334 picks · 514 bans
53%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)52% vs 40%
Hero pool strength58% Wayfarers
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total72% Rune Eaters
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed35:16
Rune Eaters 72%Wayfarers 28%
The model gave 72% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Wayfarers in 42:40.
Game 2prediction missed20:35
Rune Eaters 72%Wayfarers 28%
The model gave 72% on Rune Eaters — the game was taken by Wayfarers in 27:33.
Model check result
Model favoriteRune Eaters · 72%
Series resultRune Eaters 2:0
Series predictioncorrect
Accuracy by game0 of 2