?
arrow_backBack to match
The International 2026. Открытые квалификации · BO1
result vs prediction
Rune Eaterswin 1:0
series probability
39%61%
probability at match start · final 1:0
Yellow Submarineloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.

Rune Eaters

Tusk
Tusk
ani-san · 39 games
49%
Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
ani-san · 37 games
70%
Tiny
Tiny
ani-san · 36 games
39%
Jakiro
Jakiro
monodrama · 34 games
50%
Dragon Knight
Dragon Knightoften banned
Ethereal · 25 games
48%
Centaur Warrunner
Centaur Warrunner
Ankou · 23 games
57%
Dawnbreaker
Dawnbreakeroften banned
Ankou · 23 games
57%
Viper
Viperoften banned
Ethereal · 22 games
55%

Yellow Submarine

Ringmaster
Ringmastersignature
Htrd · 40 games
63%
Storm Spirit
Storm Spiritoften banned
Mirele · 22 games
59%
Batrider
Batridersignature
not me · 18 games
61%
Brewmaster
Brewmasteroften banned
Infernal · 18 games
50%
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
not me · 15 games
53%
Windranger
Windrangersignature
Shigetsu · 15 games
60%
Lich
Lichsignature
Xakoda · 12 games
67%
Void Spirit
Void Spirit
Rain · 12 games
58%
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Hoodwink
Hoodwink
621 picks · 403 bans
53%
Rubick
Rubick
525 picks · 290 bans
50%
Phoenix
Phoenix
484 picks · 580 bans
51%
Tiny
Tiny
467 picks · 388 bans
49%
Pangolier
Pangolier
426 picks · 599 bans
49%
Puck
Puck
345 picks · 974 bans
56%
Tusk
Tusk
342 picks · 287 bans
54%
Ember Spirit
Ember Spirit
335 picks · 505 bans
51%
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 67%
Hero pool strength53% Yellow Submarine
Head-to-head1 – 1
Model total61% Yellow Submarine
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed55:14
Rune Eaters 43%Yellow Submarine 57%
The model gave 57% on Yellow Submarine — the game was taken by Rune Eaters in 43:08.
Expected value against opponent's pick · 12 mo
Lone Druid
Lone DruidDarkLord^
55% · 35 games49% · 98 games
Templar AssassinShigetsu
Templar Assassin
Zeus
ZeusCopy
48% · 25 games49% · 10 games
TinkerRain
Tinker
Doom
DoomMalik
53% · 136 games41% · 125 games
DawnbreakerBatyuk
Dawnbreaker
Keeper of the Light
Keeper of the LightEkki
54% · 75 games44% · 74 games
TechiesWein
Techies
Bane
Baneaik
60% · 148 games46% · 112 games
ClockwerkXakoda
Clockwerk
Model check result
Model favoriteYellow Submarine · 61%
Series resultRune Eaters 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1