Dota Pro Circuit 2021/2022: Season 3 — Восточная Европа · BO1
result vs predictionSVsdohli vnutriwin 1:0
series probability
49%51%
probability at match start · final 1:0
KKEKWaitloss 0:1
The prediction was locked in using data as of the match start: hero winrates, form and head-to-head were computed only from games before it began. This is how the model's honest accuracy is verified.
Teams' go-to heroes · 6 months
Who plays what and how often they win. "Signature" — from 6 games with a 60%+ winrate: such a pick statistically raises the win chance.
sdohli vnutri
No games played over 6 months.
KEKWait
No games played over 6 months.
Patch meta · 3 months
The most picked heroes of the pro scene and their winrate. Picking a meta hero adds points to the team in the model.
Mars
462 picks · 639 bans
Tiny
450 picks · 475 bans
Bane
447 picks · 272 bans
Sand King
418 picks · 570 bans
Dragon Knight
375 picks · 440 bans
Storm Spirit
373 picks · 623 bans
Pangolier
353 picks · 553 bans
Ember Spirit
338 picks · 582 bans
Prediction components
Form (series winrate)50% vs 40%
Hero pool strength50% sdohli vnutri
Head-to-head0 – 0
Model total51% KEKWait
Prediction by game vs result
Probabilities were locked in using statistics as of the match start: the draft was assessed by hero comfort, counter-picks and late-game potential. We compare against the actual result.
Game 1prediction missed
sdohli vnutri 49%KEKWait 51%
The model gave 51% on KEKWait — the game was taken by sdohli vnutri.
Model check result
Model favoriteKEKWait · 51%
Series resultsdohli vnutri 1:0
Series predictionmissed
Accuracy by game0 of 1